Thursday, June 29, 2017

Things you don't see at market bottoms, 29-Jun-2017

It is said that while bottoms are events, but tops are processes. Translated, markets bottom out when panic sets in, and therefore they can be more easily identifiable. By contrast, market tops form when a series of conditions come together, but not necessarily all at the same time.

I have stated that while I don't believe that the stock market has made its final cyclical top, we are in the late stages of a bull market (see Risks are rising, but THE TOP is still ahead). Nevertheless, psychology is getting a little frothy, which represent the pre-condition for a major top.

As a result, this is another post in an occasional series of lists of "things you don't see at market bottoms". This week, I focus on the theme of "subprime is the new black":
  • How cov-lite loans have become the norm
  • The popularity of subprime auto loan ABS
  • A start-up for customers with no money but want to buy things

The full post can be found at our new site here.

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